Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 1.593320 1.910413 2.267237 2.697469 3.201057 3.770711 4.462749
2026-02-01 1.076878 1.457558 1.933783 2.569179 3.390058 4.409628 5.766017
2026-02-08 0.810186 1.212576 1.761652 2.556619 3.667243 5.150999 7.267614
2026-02-15 0.639127 1.043516 1.637979 2.560204 3.935422 5.886155 8.831339
2026-02-22 0.509760 0.900444 1.514421 2.527020 4.125673 6.514061 10.299634
2026-03-01 0.395408 0.752874 1.351262 2.396272 4.135512 6.860317 11.373979
2026-03-08 0.325229 0.663051 1.261767 2.362274 4.281543 7.416387 12.812802
2026-03-15 0.273033 0.593593 1.192811 2.347671 4.449930 8.016332 14.372572
2026-03-22 0.249994 0.574828 1.210704 2.487091 4.896973 9.118448 16.865086
2026-03-29 0.222737 0.541456 1.194423 2.558379 5.226644 10.047755 19.146424
2026-04-05 0.202994 0.519862 1.197137 2.664927 5.631404 11.144932 21.818713
2026-04-12 0.176221 0.476588 1.147518 2.657896 5.814164 11.851895 23.846438
2026-04-19 0.146049 0.419218 1.059269 2.560324 5.811178 12.223131 25.313853
2026-04-26 0.120921 0.368429 0.976607 2.461748 5.792771 12.561753 26.752270
2026-05-03 0.105401 0.339109 0.938677 2.457018 5.970770 13.302814 29.037975
2026-05-10 0.092685 0.314423 0.907492 2.462754 6.171069 14.106212 31.516856
2026-05-17 0.080103 0.286883 0.863901 2.431423 6.282773 14.733715 33.689008
2026-05-24 0.065672 0.249665 0.787444 2.305414 6.157623 14.841395 34.782520
2026-05-31 0.056848 0.228047 0.749593 2.272659 6.249681 15.429413 36.947299
2026-06-07 0.049855 0.210675 0.720514 2.258581 6.385188 16.125729 39.404850
2026-06-14 0.047934 0.210961 0.744053 2.393181 6.911018 17.759377 44.072440
2026-06-21 0.044345 0.204078 0.744363 2.462013 7.274970 19.047497 48.059800
2026-06-28 0.041872 0.200873 0.755790 2.564897 7.740143 20.614371 52.804707